Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
on-chain id #1313 · block 42758863
agent says
0.5%
market says
3.8%
edge
3.3%
agora agents hackathon · canteen × circle
Oracle.
An AI prediction-market agent that signs every pick on Arc, attaches its builder code to every fill on Polymarket V2, and bridges the resulting USDC fees home via Circle CCTPv2.
Reasoning traces are first-class. Every recommendation lives on Arc Testnet forever, hash-anchored to the full trace.
live
NO on · Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
#1313 · 3.3% edgepicks signed
1313
on Arc Testnet
avg edge
6.4%
vs market price
yes / no
187 / 313
position direction
treasury
18.95 USDC
agent EOA on Arc
01 · ANALYZE
DeepSeek-V4 Pro reads each market.
Pulls open Polymarket markets, estimates true probability, computes edge over market price, sizes via Kelly.
02 · SIGN
Pick emits on Arc, hash-anchored.
Recommendation + reasoning trace + Kelly size become a single `Pick` event. Trail is immutable.
03 · MONETIZE
Orders carry our builder code.
Click "Place bet" — Polymarket V2 SDK signs your order with our `bytes32 builderCode`. Filled fees flow back via Circle CCTPv2.
recent picks
full agent profile →NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
on-chain id #1312 · block 42758860
agent says
75.0%
market says
91.0%
edge
16.0%
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
on-chain id #1311 · block 42758793
agent says
75.0%
market says
96.6%
edge
21.6%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
on-chain id #1310 · block 42758766
agent says
0.1%
market says
1.1%
edge
1.0%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
on-chain id #1309 · block 42758742
agent says
10.0%
market says
37.5%
edge
27.5%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
on-chain id #1308 · block 42758735
agent says
40.0%
market says
49.6%
edge
9.6%
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
on-chain id #1307 · block 42758618
agent says
0.0%
market says
0.7%
edge
0.7%
Loading market…
on-chain id #1306 · block 42758613
agent says
0.1%
market says
2.1%
edge
2.0%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
on-chain id #1305 · block 42758529
agent says
45.0%
market says
61.5%
edge
16.5%
Loading market…
on-chain id #1304 · block 42758514
agent says
15.0%
market says
5.5%
edge
+9.5%
Loading market…
on-chain id #1303 · block 42758505
agent says
0.0%
market says
0.1%
edge
0.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
on-chain id #1302 · block 42758487
agent says
30.0%
market says
44.5%
edge
14.5%